Journal article
Annals of Statistics, vol. 53(1), 2025, pp. 219-244
APA
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Chong, C., Delerue, T., & Mies, F. (2025). Rate-optimal estimation of mixed semimartingales. Annals of Statistics, 53(1), 219–244. https://doi.org/10.1214/24-AOS2461
Chicago/Turabian
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Chong, Carsten, Thomas Delerue, and Fabian Mies. “Rate-Optimal Estimation of Mixed Semimartingales.” Annals of Statistics 53, no. 1 (2025): 219–244.
MLA
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Chong, Carsten, et al. “Rate-Optimal Estimation of Mixed Semimartingales.” Annals of Statistics, vol. 53, no. 1, 2025, pp. 219–44, doi:10.1214/24-AOS2461.
BibTeX Click to copy
@article{carsten2025a,
title = {Rate-optimal estimation of mixed semimartingales},
year = {2025},
issue = {1},
journal = {Annals of Statistics},
pages = {219-244},
volume = {53},
doi = {10.1214/24-AOS2461},
author = {Chong, Carsten and Delerue, Thomas and Mies, Fabian}
}
Consider the sum Y=B+B(H) of a Brownian motion B and an independent fractional Brownian motion B(H) with Hurst parameter H\in(0,1). Even though B(H) is not a semimartingale, it was shown in [Bernoulli 7 (2001) 913--934] that Y is a semimartingale if H>3/4. Moreover, Y is locally equivalent to $B$ in this case, so $H$ cannot be consistently estimated from local observations of Y. This paper pivots on another unexpected feature in this model: if B and B(H) become correlated, then Y will never be a semimartingale, and H can be identified, regardless of its value. This and other results will follow from a detailed statistical analysis of a more general class of processes called mixed semimartingales, which are semiparametric extensions of $Y$ with stochastic volatility in both the martingale and the fractional component. In particular, we derive consistent estimators and feasible central limit theorems for all parameters and processes that can be identified from high-frequency observations. We further show that our estimators achieve optimal rates in a minimax sense.